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National Security and International Conflict Archives

December 13, 2006

Waiting for Genocide by Victoria Whitford

After 31 years with the United Nations, Kofi Annan steps down from his post as Secretary General this month. But what will be his major legacy?

At Princeton University two weeks ago, speaking on the subject of nuclear non-proliferation, Annan described the world as an aircraft with no-one at the controls, rushing headlong towards disaster. If you’ll allow me to gratuitously replace “non-proliferation” with “humanitarian intervention”, then the analogy is just as apt.

Wilson School Dean Anne-Marie Slaughter praised Annan for his major contribution to UN policy, the doctrine of “responsibility to protect”, the brainchild of the International Commission on Intervention and State Sovereignty that Annan endorsed. Annan has bravely attempted to chart new airspace, and his tenacity is laudable. But at the same time the praise sounds hollow, given the UN’s patent inability to implement the policy. The resulting drift leaves the world in peril.

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February 2, 2007

Countering Global Terrorism Involves more than Just Promoting Global Values By Sandya Das

After the 2006 bombings in Europe and the growing insurgent violence in Palestinian disputed territory, Iraq and Afghanistan, there is still no international consensus concerning global terrorism. Some political leaders, such as Prime Minister Tony Blair, however, are taking a strong stand against terrorism. Blair is calling for the U.S. to lead a global alliance to promote “global values” of democracy, human rights, liberty, religious tolerance, and rule of law. Supporting these values would allow for the international community to reduce the threat of Islamic radicals and insurgents who would use nuclear weapons to attain their political grievances against the West and its value system. He also suggests that we convince terrorists that these values of democracy, individual rights, peace and stability can help terrorists’ achieve their more legitimate political goals.

Despite the importance of promoting global values for global stability and security, there is a critical element missing in Blair’s proposal; it does not directly address terrorism. An international pledge to promote global values does not provide the shift in ideas and motivation needed to reduce the risk of nuclear weapons getting into the hands of international criminals. Countering global terrorism requires more international collaboration to condemn it, prosecute it, and address its perpetrators’ underlying grievances.

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September 6, 2007

Last Chance to Save the U.S.-India Nuclear Agreement from a Nonproliferation Disaster

Sandya Das

By Sandya Das

 

U.S. nuclear cooperation with India has the potential of helping both countries achieve their core security objectives. India would gain the nuclear energy supply it needs to prevent an energy crisis this decade. The U.S. would pursue the national security interest of strengthening relations with India. These critical benefits, however, are far outweighed by the existing agreement’s concrete dangers to international standards on nonproliferation. It raises the risk of other countries developing a nuclear program without safeguards against proliferation. Although Congress approved the first nuclear cooperation deal last year, it can now reject the more damaging companion implementation pact. In this stage, the U.S. has another chance to stop the implementation of a deal that would ultimately exacerbate proliferation challenges. There would be more time to modify the accord, providing national security benefits without damaging nonproliferation goals.

 

Rushing the U.S. nuclear cooperation deal’s completion has clearly shown the Bush Administration’s priority to achieve strategic gains at the cost of creating dangerous nuclear proliferation consequences. The strategic benefits of India serving as a potential counterweight to China’s rising power in Asia, and providing support against the threat of nuclear terrorism originating from Pakistan are purely hypothetical situations. Yet, pursuing this deal would cause four real problems against nonproliferation efforts.

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December 7, 2007

Realism, Middle East Democracy, and Iranian Rationality

By J.T. Rothwell

 

Summary:

The success of the Bush Administration’s policies seem to depend on the degree to which it puts other people in charge. Yet we can now refute the criticism that the Bush Administration has jeopardized U.S. security vis-a-vis Iran by abandoning realism in favor of democracy promotion in the Middle East.

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