Efforts to predict North Atlantic hurricane activity should focus on improving the ability of global climate models to capture the processes that control patterns of sea surface temperature change through better modeling of cloud physics, atmospheric convection, oceanic processes, the role of aerosols, and overall improvements in spatial resolution of the models, according to a new study by Gabriele Villarini, a postdoctoral research associate in the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering at Princeton University, and Gabriel A. Vecchi, a scientist at the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory in Princeton.
Villarini G. and Vecchi GA. Twenty-first-century projections of North Atlantic tropical storms from CMIP5 models, Nature Climate Change
Published online 13 May 2012
Read a summary of the paper (Geophysical Fluid Dynamic Laboratory)
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